Tennessee State
OVC · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#47
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#95
−7.2 pts · likely #64–114
Strength of schedule
26.8
#40 of 129
Strength of victory
2.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.421
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 59.7%
Remaining SOS
33.2
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 41-21 | −20.2 | −2.8 | 0.015 | 4 | −3.7 |
| 2 | at North Dakota State | L 3-52 | +17.6 | +2.8 | 0.781 | 1 | −13.1 |
| 3 | vs (N) Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 41-28 | −18.8 | 0.0 | 0.030 | 4 | −6.2 |
| 4 | at Tennessee Tech | L 14-24 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Charleston Southern · p 0.086
- Wk 6: at Lindenwood · p 0.289
- Wk 7: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.164
- Wk 8: at Howard · p 0.249
- Wk 10: vs UT Martin · p 0.384
- Wk 11: at Western Illinois · p 0.115
- Wk 12: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.441
- Wk 13: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.528
- Wk 14: at Montana · p 0.732