Stony Brook
CAA · 3-0 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#11
A #25-level team matches it 42% of the time
Power
#68
−0.0 pts · likely #38–95
Strength of schedule
23.0
#49 of 129
Strength of victory
23.0
#11
Record SOS
0.519
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 88.9%
Remaining SOS
42.4
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Morgan State · p 0.241
- Wk 6: vs Villanova · p 0.600
- Wk 8: at Towson · p 0.484
- Wk 9: vs William & Mary · p 0.453
- Wk 10: at Bryant · p 0.245
- Wk 11: vs UAlbany · p 0.319
- Wk 12: at New Hampshire · p 0.708
- Wk 13: vs Monmouth · p 0.346
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MarshallFBS · L 3-45