Incarnate Word
Southland · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#23
A #25-level team matches it 71% of the time
Power
#16
+11.5 pts · likely #7–46
Strength of schedule
51.5
#3 of 129
Strength of victory
25.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.583
Opp. 62.5% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
33.7
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Northern Colorado | W 28-7 | −11.5 | −2.8 | 0.056 | 4 | +7.4 |
| 2 | at South Dakota State | L 24-45 | +31.5 | +2.8 | 0.957 | 1 | +12.9 |
| 3 | at Southern Illinois | L 28-35 | +9.4 | +2.8 | 0.588 | 1 | +6.4 |
| 4 | vs Northern Arizona | W 38-14 | +10.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Prairie View A&M · p 0.064
- Wk 7: vs Nicholls State · p 0.261
- Wk 8: vs McNeese · p 0.254
- Wk 9: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.324
- Wk 10: vs Houston Christian · p 0.095
- Wk 11: vs Lamar · p 0.187
- Wk 12: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.504
- Wk 13: at East Texas A&M · p 0.130
- Wk 15: vs Villanova · p 0.600
- Wk 16: at South Dakota State · p 0.954