Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 1-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#44
+4.8 pts · likely #18–79
Strength of schedule
38.1
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
21.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.326
Opp. 16.7% · Opp. opp. 64.6%
Remaining SOS
41.0
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Utah Tech | W 45-17 | −5.6 | +2.8 | 0.212 | 3 | +21.0 |
| 4 | at Incarnate Word | L 14-38 | +8.0 | +2.8 | 0.550 | 1 | −9.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Sacramento State · p 0.638
- Wk 6: at Idaho · p 0.749
- Wk 7: at Montana · p 0.732
- Wk 8: vs Idaho State · p 0.177
- Wk 10: vs Weber State · p 0.454
- Wk 11: at Cal Poly · p 0.127
- Wk 12: at Northern Colorado · p 0.129
- Wk 13: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.253
- Wk 14: at Abilene Christian · p 0.430
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Lincoln (CA)DII · W 66-6
- Wk 2: at ArizonaFBS · L 10-22