Southern Illinois
MVFC · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#18
A #25-level team matches it 52% of the time
Power
#20
+10.5 pts · likely #7–51
Strength of schedule
48.7
#7 of 129
Strength of victory
53.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.690
Opp. 72.2% · Opp. opp. 62.5%
Remaining SOS
53.9
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Austin Peay | W 31-17 | +8.0 | +2.8 | 0.550 | 1 | +22.0 |
| 3 | vs Incarnate Word | W 35-28 | +12.6 | −2.8 | 0.521 | 1 | +15.6 |
| 4 | vs Southeast Missouri State | L 21-38 | +7.7 | −2.8 | 0.391 | 2 | −7.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at South Dakota · p 0.759
- Wk 6: vs Illinois State · p 0.429
- Wk 7: vs North Dakota State · p 0.692
- Wk 9: at Indiana State · p 0.230
- Wk 10: at Missouri State · p 0.623
- Wk 11: vs Youngstown State · p 0.432
- Wk 12: at South Dakota State · p 0.954
- Wk 13: vs Murray State · p 0.190
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at BYUFBS · L 13-41