Colgate
Patriot · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#43
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#74
−1.9 pts · likely #43–103
Strength of schedule
30.2
#35 of 129
Strength of victory
14.8
1 wins
Record SOS
0.569
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 37.5%
Remaining SOS
30.7
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Colgate. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Penn · p 0.529
- Wk 6: vs Holy Cross · p 0.474
- Wk 8: vs Georgetown · p 0.095
- Wk 9: at Merrimack · p 0.229
- Wk 10: at Fordham · p 0.137
- Wk 11: vs Lafayette · p 0.382
- Wk 12: at Lehigh · p 0.454
- Wk 13: at Bucknell · p 0.154
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at AkronFBS · L 20-31