Villanova
CAA · 3-0 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#4
A #25-level team matches it 28% of the time
Power
#8
+15.5 pts · likely #3–33
Strength of schedule
34.2
#26 of 129
Strength of victory
34.2
#2
Record SOS
0.574
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 72.2%
Remaining SOS
39.2
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Youngstown State | W 24-17 | +8.7 | −2.8 | 0.416 | 2 | +13.4 |
| 2 | at Colgate | W 28-3 | +0.6 | +2.8 | 0.354 | 2 | +25.9 |
| 3 | vs Towson | W 14-13 | +2.2 | −2.8 | 0.257 | 2 | +3.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Long Island · p 0.150
- Wk 6: at Stony Brook · p 0.343
- Wk 8: at Maine · p 0.246
- Wk 9: vs New Hampshire · p 0.565
- Wk 10: at Hampton · p 0.412
- Wk 11: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.039
- Wk 12: at Monmouth · p 0.495
- Wk 13: vs Delaware · p 0.600
- Wk 14: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.428
- Wk 15: at Incarnate Word · p 0.640
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: at MarylandFBS · L 20-38