The Citadel
Southern · 1-2 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#41
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#101
−9.0 pts · likely #72–118
Strength of schedule
34.9
#24 of 129
Strength of victory
18.6
1 wins
Record SOS
0.481
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 44.4%
Remaining SOS
31.0
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against The Citadel. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Charleston Southern | W 22-21 | −7.0 | +2.8 | 0.186 | 3 | −4.5 |
| 2 | vs South Carolina State | L 20-23 | −2.8 | −2.8 | 0.160 | 3 | −8.8 |
| 4 | at Mercer | L 21-38 | +13.9 | +2.8 | 0.701 | 1 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.377
- Wk 6: vs Furman · p 0.305
- Wk 7: at Western Carolina · p 0.485
- Wk 8: at VMI · p 0.060
- Wk 9: vs Samford · p 0.209
- Wk 11: vs Chattanooga · p 0.342
- Wk 12: at Wofford · p 0.391
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs North GreenvilleDII · W 54-0