Mercer
Southern · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-0 overall
Strength of record
#7
A #25-level team matches it 32% of the time
Power
#15
+11.9 pts · likely #7–44
Strength of schedule
21.5
#54 of 129
Strength of victory
21.5
#15
Record SOS
0.417
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 75.0%
Remaining SOS
36.0
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | W 63-10 | −16.4 | −2.8 | 0.028 | 4 | +14.8 |
| 2 | at Bethune-Cookman | W 31-2 | −4.7 | +2.8 | 0.230 | 3 | +22.5 |
| 3 | at Chattanooga | W 10-3 | +7.5 | +2.8 | 0.538 | 1 | +15.7 |
| 4 | vs The Citadel | W 38-21 | −10.7 | −2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Wofford · p 0.391
- Wk 7: vs Princeton · p 0.235
- Wk 8: at Samford · p 0.335
- Wk 9: vs Western Carolina · p 0.337
- Wk 10: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.377
- Wk 11: at VMI · p 0.060
- Wk 13: vs Furman · p 0.305
- Wk 15: vs Rhode Island · p 0.388
- Wk 16: at North Dakota State · p 0.812