Missouri State
MVFC · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#15
A #25-level team matches it 49% of the time
Power
#18
+10.7 pts · likely #8–51
Strength of schedule
49.8
#5 of 129
Strength of victory
37.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.551
Opp. 55.6% · Opp. opp. 54.2%
Remaining SOS
51.6
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Montana | L 24-29 | +15.8 | +2.8 | 0.744 | 1 | +13.2 |
| 3 | vs Lindenwood | W 28-14 | −2.5 | −2.8 | 0.165 | 3 | +9.1 |
| 4 | at UT Martin | W 31-24 | +9.3 | +2.8 | 0.585 | 1 | +17.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Youngstown State · p 0.432
- Wk 7: at Illinois State · p 0.581
- Wk 8: vs Indiana State · p 0.131
- Wk 9: at Northern Iowa · p 0.485
- Wk 10: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.472
- Wk 11: at Murray State · p 0.311
- Wk 12: at North Dakota State · p 0.812
- Wk 13: vs South Dakota State · p 0.904
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Ball StateFBS · L 34-42