UC Davis
Big Sky · 3-0 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#16
A #25-level team matches it 50% of the time
Power
#35
+6.2 pts · likely #17–69
Strength of schedule
18.5
#59 of 129
Strength of victory
18.5
#17
Record SOS
0.241
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 72.2%
Remaining SOS
47.1
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs East Texas A&M | W 36-22 | −12.0 | −2.8 | 0.053 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 3 | at Southern Utah | W 24-21 | +3.7 | +2.8 | 0.434 | 2 | +8.7 |
| 4 | vs Utah Tech | W 32-14 | −10.3 | −2.8 | 0.066 | 4 | +5.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Idaho · p 0.613
- Wk 6: at Portland State · p 0.257
- Wk 7: vs Cal Poly · p 0.064
- Wk 8: at Eastern Washington · p 0.389
- Wk 10: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.065
- Wk 11: at Montana · p 0.732
- Wk 12: vs Montana State · p 0.630
- Wk 13: at Sacramento State · p 0.769
- Wk 15: vs Illinois State · p 0.429
- Wk 16: at South Dakota · p 0.759
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CaliforniaFBS · L 13-31