Norfolk State
MEAC · 1-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#50
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#91
−6.2 pts · likely #61–113
Strength of schedule
22.1
#52 of 129
Strength of victory
10.0
1 wins
Record SOS
0.528
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 58.3%
Remaining SOS
23.2
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Norfolk State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Florida A&M | L 23-24 | +6.0 | 0.0 | 0.419 | 2 | +2.5 |
| 3 | vs Hampton | L 7-37 | −4.0 | −2.8 | 0.142 | 3 | −30.0 |
| 4 | at VMI | W 32-10 | −12.7 | +2.8 | 0.100 | 3 | +8.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs (N) North Carolina Central · p 0.341
- Wk 6: at Sacred Heart · p 0.136
- Wk 7: vs Towson · p 0.336
- Wk 9: vs Howard · p 0.144
- Wk 10: at Morgan State · p 0.375
- Wk 12: vs Delaware State · p 0.024
- Wk 13: at South Carolina State · p 0.270
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at East CarolinaFBS · L 3-42
- Wk 2: vs Virginia StateDII · W 28-23