Bucknell
Patriot · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#48
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#100
−8.7 pts · likely #72–118
Strength of schedule
5.5
#67 of 129
Strength of victory
3.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.179
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 53.7%
Remaining SOS
31.2
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Bucknell. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Lehigh · p 0.454
- Wk 7: at Penn · p 0.529
- Wk 8: vs Cornell · p 0.091
- Wk 9: at Georgetown · p 0.178
- Wk 10: vs Lafayette · p 0.382
- Wk 11: vs Fordham · p 0.070
- Wk 12: at Holy Cross · p 0.625
- Wk 13: vs Colgate · p 0.170
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at NavyFBS · L 21-49