Holy Cross
Patriot · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#37
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#17
+10.9 pts · likely #8–48
Strength of schedule
44.6
#12 of 129
Strength of victory
30.0
1 wins
Record SOS
0.574
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 38.9%
Remaining SOS
29.6
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Holy Cross. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Rhode Island | L 17-20 | +6.7 | +2.8 | 0.514 | 1 | +7.2 |
| 2 | vs New Hampshire | L 20-21 | +14.1 | −2.8 | 0.562 | 1 | +10.4 |
| 3 | at Bryant | W 43-22 | −1.6 | +2.8 | 0.300 | 2 | +20.2 |
| 4 | vs Yale | L 31-38 | +8.4 | −2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Colgate · p 0.284
- Wk 7: vs Fordham · p 0.070
- Wk 8: at Harvard · p 0.618
- Wk 9: at Lafayette · p 0.534
- Wk 11: vs Lehigh · p 0.309
- Wk 12: vs Bucknell · p 0.080
- Wk 13: at Georgetown · p 0.178