Montana State
Big Sky · 3-0 vs FCS · 4-0 overall
Strength of record
#22
A #25-level team matches it 71% of the time
Power
#4
+16.9 pts · likely #3–30
Strength of schedule
10.9
#64 of 129
Strength of victory
10.9
#19
Record SOS
0.366
Opp. 22.2% · Opp. opp. 65.3%
Remaining SOS
47.7
12 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Utah Tech | W 31-7 | −10.0 | +2.8 | 0.136 | 3 | +17.0 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 41-24 | −5.5 | −2.8 | 0.120 | 3 | +10.3 |
| 4 | vs Mercyhurst | W 52-13 | −9.9 | −2.8 | 0.071 | 4 | +21.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Idaho State · p 0.294
- Wk 6: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.065
- Wk 7: vs Idaho · p 0.613
- Wk 8: at Portland State · p 0.257
- Wk 10: at Eastern Washington · p 0.389
- Wk 11: vs Sacramento State · p 0.638
- Wk 12: at UC Davis · p 0.497
- Wk 13: vs Montana · p 0.592
- Wk 15: vs UT Martin · p 0.384
- Wk 16: vs Idaho · p 0.613
- Wk 17: vs (N) North Dakota State · p 0.756
- Wk 17: vs South Dakota · p 0.625
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at New MexicoFBS · W 35-31