Sacramento State
Big Sky · 2-0 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 54% of the time
Power
#5
+16.8 pts · likely #2–30
Strength of schedule
25.7
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
25.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.583
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 75.0%
Remaining SOS
35.7
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Sacramento State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Nicholls State | W 34-7 | +5.8 | −2.8 | 0.342 | 2 | +26.6 |
| 4 | at East Texas A&M | W 34-0 | −7.7 | +2.8 | 0.173 | 3 | +26.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Northern Arizona · p 0.468
- Wk 7: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.253
- Wk 8: vs Weber State · p 0.454
- Wk 9: at Idaho State · p 0.294
- Wk 10: vs Portland State · p 0.149
- Wk 11: at Montana State · p 0.763
- Wk 12: at Cal Poly · p 0.127
- Wk 13: vs UC Davis · p 0.348
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at San José StateFBS · L 24-42
- Wk 2: at Fresno StateFBS · L 30-46