Illinois State
MVFC · 3-0 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#20
A #25-level team matches it 58% of the time
Power
#24
+9.3 pts · likely #10–58
Strength of schedule
16.3
#61 of 129
Strength of victory
16.3
#18
Record SOS
0.639
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 91.7%
Remaining SOS
49.3
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Illinois State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Alabama | W 24-17 | −5.0 | +2.8 | 0.224 | 3 | +5.8 |
| 3 | vs Western Illinois | W 51-34 | −14.8 | −2.8 | 0.035 | 4 | +2.5 |
| 4 | vs Eastern Illinois | W 31-7 | +0.9 | −2.8 | 0.230 | 3 | +18.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs North Dakota State · p 0.692
- Wk 6: at Southern Illinois · p 0.624
- Wk 7: vs Missouri State · p 0.472
- Wk 8: at Murray State · p 0.311
- Wk 10: vs Youngstown State · p 0.432
- Wk 11: at Northern Iowa · p 0.485
- Wk 12: at Indiana State · p 0.230
- Wk 13: vs North Dakota · p 0.509
- Wk 14: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.676
- Wk 15: at UC Davis · p 0.497
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at IowaFBS · L 0-40