Computer ratings · FCS vs FCS games only

FCS College Football Ratings & Strength of Schedule

2022 Week 4 · through Saturday, September 24

Early-season ratings are provisional: too few FCS games connect the league yet, so last season still carries real weight.

Season

Week

How this week's numbers compare

Power (0 = average team): #1 +16.1 · #10 +11.2 · middle −0.9
SOS (higher is harder): hardest 67.2 · #10 46.8 · middle 29.8 · easiest 13.1
SOR (lower is better): #1 26% · #25 81%

Power is in points: a +20 team would be favored by about 20 over an average FCS team on a neutral field, and by 10 over a +10 team. SOS, SOR, and SOV are measured against a #25-level team: one as strong as the 25th-best team in these ratings usually is at season's end (+9.0 points). That comes from these ratings, not the poll. An SOS of 50 means a #25-level team would lose about half of these games; above 50, the opponents were, on average, better than that.

What these columns mean

#: Rank in the column you sorted by (strength of record unless you pick another). "—" means too few FCS games to rank.
vs FCS: Record against FCS teams. These are the only games any number here counts.
All games: Record in every game, including opponents outside FCS. For reference only.
SOR: Strength of record: how often a #25-level team would do at least this well against this exact schedule. Lower is harder to achieve.
Power: Points better than an average FCS team on a neutral field. The difference between two teams is the expected margin.
SOS: Strength of schedule, 0–100: on average, how often a #25-level team would lose each of these games. Higher is harder.
SOS rank: Rank by SOS. Teams need 3 FCS games to be ranked.
SOV: Strength of victory: SOS counting only the games the team won.
Record SOS: NCAA RPI-style schedule strength from records only: 2/3 opponents' win % plus 1/3 their opponents' win %.

Only games between two FCS teams count. Method v1 · 164 FCS games · run fb53421c6e9d

Team

vs FCS

All games

SOS rank

Holy CrossPatriot

3-0

4-0

26%

+12.8

36.2

0.741

27.3

South Dakota StateMVFC

3-0

3-1

26%

+9.1

35.5

0.778

40.4

FordhamPatriot

3-0

3-1

28%

+4.9

33.0

0.488

25.0

Jacksonville StateASUN

4-0

4-1

28%

+14.8

26.6

0.583

34.3

ElonCAA

3-0

3-1

30%

+6.3

30.0

0.500

38.8

DelawareCAA

3-0

4-0

32%

+14.1

29.8

0.593

41.4

SamfordSouthern

3-0

3-1

35%

+7.2

28.9

0.815

40.3

Jackson StateSWAC

4-0

35%

+15.8

22.5

0.458

26.5

MontanaBig Sky

4-0

36%

+16.1

22.1

0.681

40.1

North Dakota StateMVFC

3-0

3-1

40%

+14.1

25.6

0.519

37.7

RichmondCAA

3-0

3-1

42%

+11.2

24.3

0.495

41.2

Austin PeayASUN

4-0

4-1

44%

+11.9

17.9

0.375

28.3

Montana StateBig Sky

3-0

3-1

49%

+8.3

20.6

0.435

37.4

MercerSouthern

3-0

3-1

50%

+12.1

20.0

0.352

34.3

Southeast Missouri StateOVC

3-0

3-1

50%

+4.7

20.3

0.481

28.0

New HampshireCAA

3-1

51%

+5.7

37.8

39.6

0.745

37.7

ChattanoogaSouthern

3-0

3-1

57%

+10.5

17.1

0.333

36.3

Incarnate WordSouthland

2-1

3-1

61%

+10.9

42.9

38.7

0.727

28.8

Southern UtahWAC

3-0

3-1

62%

+4.6

14.7

0.278

30.0

Missouri StateMVFC

2-1

2-2

67%

+2.8

38.7

38.8

0.750

27.4

William & MaryCAA

2-1

3-1

76%

+7.6

32.2

31.5

0.728

35.5

Saint FrancisNEC

2-1

2-2

76%

+6.2

33.6

21.3

0.410

26.8

Rhode IslandCAA

2-1

2-2

77%

+2.9

32.2

22.9

0.509

35.8

HamptonCAA

2-1

3-1

78%

−2.9

32.2

18.8

0.380

37.1

TowsonCAA

2-1

2-2

81%

−3.0

27.6

27.3

0.551

39.3

North DakotaMVFC

2-1

2-2

82%

−2.3

27.5

31.9

0.463

41.2

Prairie View A&MSWAC

2-2

84%

+2.6

38.8

37.3

0.713

18.2

VillanovaCAA

2-1

2-2

84%

+5.6

25.3

20.9

0.338

38.4

UT MartinOVC

2-1

2-2

87%

+5.9

23.8

18.2

0.565

22.5

MonmouthCAA

2-2

87%

+6.5

36.1

0.655

27.8

North Carolina A&TBig South

1-2

1-3

88%

−1.7

49.6

42.9

0.843

16.5

Alcorn StateSWAC

2-1

2-2

89%

+2.7

20.8

22.7

0.250

28.1

Western CarolinaSouthern

2-1

2-2

90%

+2.1

21.4

13.5

0.444

34.1

South DakotaMVFC

1-2

1-3

92%

+1.2

49.4

18.7

0.778

37.7

Northern ColoradoBig Sky

2-1

2-2

93%

+0.5

16.6

15.9

0.139

37.6

ColgatePatriot

1-2

1-3

95%

−3.8

38.3

31.1

0.796

20.7

The CitadelSouthern

1-2

95%

−2.7

40.4

32.3

0.444

33.7

MerrimackNEC

1-2

2-2

95%

+1.6

38.0

24.2

0.657

21.4

Southern IllinoisMVFC

1-2

2-2

95%

−1.2

36.6

27.7

0.710

39.3

UC DavisBig Sky

1-2

1-3

96%

+6.1

38.1

17.7

0.556

33.1

Sacred HeartNEC

2-2

97%

−3.5

22.3

24.7

0.347

23.5

Eastern IllinoisOVC

1-2

1-3

97%

−4.4

32.5

19.2

0.574

25.2

LafayettePatriot

1-2

1-3

98%

−5.7

28.6

18.7

0.657

29.6

Northern ArizonaBig Sky

1-2

1-3

98%

−2.2

29.2

36.7

0.620

30.4

Northern IowaMVFC

1-2

1-3

98%

+3.3

26.9

25.3

0.454

28.2

Grambling StateSWAC

1-2

1-3

98%

−3.9

33.1

19.4

0.440

22.4

Central ArkansasASUN

1-2

1-3

98%

−0.9

28.2

18.1

0.491

34.4

UAlbanyCAA

1-2

1-3

98%

+2.1

30.6

10.1

0.551

32.3

ValparaisoPioneer

1-2

2-2

98%

−3.7

29.5

12.0

0.324

9.8

LehighPatriot

1-3

98%

−6.8

37.7

18.3

0.622

30.5

BryantBig South

1-2

1-3

99%

−3.2

24.3

22.0

0.278

27.2

Northwestern StateSouthland

1-2

1-3

99%

−8.7

31.8

15.9

0.407

33.5

East Tennessee StateSouthern

1-2

2-2

99%

+2.5

22.6

24.3

0.306

37.3

MaristPioneer

1-2

100%

−12.6

22.4

13.6

0.394

13.8

GeorgetownPatriot

1-3

100%

−7.3

26.4

17.4

0.490

32.3

WoffordSouthern

0-3

0-4

100%

−7.9

37.5

—

0.556

35.5

Central Connecticut StateNEC

0-3

0-4

100%

−9.5

31.0

—

0.441

25.0

Charleston SouthernBig South

0-3

0-4

100%

−6.3

31.3

—

0.454

22.3

DrakePioneer

0-3

0-4

100%

−11.0

37.5

—

0.546

18.5

LamarSouthland

0-3

0-4

100%

−6.3

23.5

—

0.407

32.4

Mississippi Valley StateSWAC

0-3

0-4

100%

−9.6

54.8

—

0.736

22.2

Morehead StatePioneer

0-3

1-3

100%

−11.8

39.3

—

0.556

16.0

North AlabamaASUN

0-3

1-3

100%

−7.0

32.4

—

0.519

39.9

PresbyterianPioneer

0-3

1-3

100%

−16.1

36.6

—

0.454

12.8

San DiegoPioneer

0-3

1-3

100%

−7.1

26.4

—

0.111

13.9

Utah TechWAC

0-3

1-3

100%

−7.9

44.9

—

0.722

31.3

Western IllinoisMVFC

0-3

0-4

100%

−9.4

33.9

—

0.444

41.0

—

ColumbiaIvy

2-0

68%

+13.2

17.1

small sample

17.1

0.410

28.1

—

Southeastern LouisianaSouthland

2-0

2-2

37%

+9.6

35.3

small sample

35.3

0.528

27.6

—

North Carolina CentralMEAC

2-0

4-0

33%

+9.3

40.8

small sample

40.8

0.799

30.8

—

Youngstown StateMVFC

2-0

2-1

62%

+8.8

21.3

small sample

21.3

0.917

30.6

—

Sacramento StateBig Sky

2-0

3-0

45%

+8.2

30.2

small sample

30.2

0.417

40.2

—

Weber StateBig Sky

2-0

4-0

42%

+8.1

33.0

small sample

33.0

0.444

35.4

—

IdahoBig Sky

2-0

2-2

62%

+7.8

20.3

small sample

20.3

0.417

37.6

—

PrincetonIvy

2-0

62%

+6.0

20.5

small sample

20.5

0.646

31.8

—

Illinois StateMVFC

2-0

2-1

66%

+5.8

18.8

small sample

18.8

0.500

35.3

—

Eastern KentuckyASUN

1-1

2-2

90%

+4.3

39.5

small sample

16.6

0.458

29.5

—

DavidsonPioneer

1-1

3-1

94%

+4.2

38.4

small sample

9.0

0.500

18.2

—

FurmanSouthern

2-0

3-1

46%

+4.2

30.7

small sample

30.7

0.306

38.3

—

Tarleton StateWAC

2-0

3-1

74%

+3.5

14.1

small sample

14.1

0.278

28.1

—

Abilene ChristianWAC

2-0

3-1

58%

+3.5

23.0

small sample

23.0

0.451

28.1

—

YaleIvy

1-1

79%

+3.1

46.9

small sample

37.5

0.861

32.4

—

DartmouthIvy

1-1

96%

+2.7

21.3

small sample

23.6

0.375

35.9

—

PennIvy

2-0

70%

+2.5

16.1

small sample

16.1

0.620

33.2

—

HarvardIvy

2-0

51%

+2.4

28.2

small sample

28.2

0.736

37.7

—

Eastern WashingtonBig Sky

1-1

1-2

88%

+2.1

35.8

small sample

25.8

0.472

39.7

—

South Carolina StateMEAC

1-1

1-2

93%

+1.7

29.8

small sample

42.2

0.542

23.7

—

CampbellBig South

1-1

1-2

89%

+1.7

35.1

small sample

24.4

0.556

27.9

—

Houston ChristianSouthland

1-1

1-2

96%

+1.4

25.2

small sample

39.8

0.458

26.6

—

Texas SouthernSWAC

1-1

1-3

92%

+1.4

28.9

small sample

27.1

0.368

29.6

—

Morgan StateMEAC

1-1

1-2

96%

+0.3

19.9

small sample

20.1

0.523

30.2

—

StonehillNEC

0-0

2-0

—

+0.0

—

22.2

—

Tennessee StateOVC

0-2

0-3

100%

−0.1

52.4

small sample

—

0.479

24.5

—

Stephen F. AustinWAC

1-1

2-2

73%

−0.4

52.3

small sample

43.6

0.750

29.0

—

Tennessee TechOVC

1-1

1-2

93%

−0.6

29.2

small sample

17.2

0.500

29.8

—

Alabama StateSWAC

1-1

2-2

94%

−0.9

25.1

small sample

24.6

0.299

25.1

—

Sam HoustonWAC

1-1

1-2

97%

−1.0

19.2

small sample

23.9

0.139

31.7

—

VMISouthern

1-1

1-2

98%

−1.9

15.2

small sample

20.1

0.125

36.7

—

DuquesneNEC

0-1

1-3

100%

−1.9

51.6

small sample

—

1.000

22.7

—

BrownIvy

1-1

96%

−2.1

20.9

small sample

16.9

0.653

34.7

—

Kennesaw StateASUN

1-1

1-2

96%

−2.2

29.2

small sample

7.9

0.611

35.0

—

East Texas A&MSouthland

0-2

2-2

100%

−2.3

27.1

small sample

—

0.083

28.7

—

Bethune-CookmanSWAC

1-1

1-2

97%

−2.6

18.9

small sample

24.0

0.333

30.2

—

MaineCAA

0-1

0-3

100%

−2.6

13.9

small sample

—

0.333

34.7

—

Florida A&MSWAC

1-1

2-2

91%

−3.1

37.5

small sample

14.9

0.479

20.5

—

HowardMEAC

0-2

1-3

100%

−3.5

22.6

small sample

—

0.250

30.4

—

BucknellPatriot

0-2

0-3

100%

−3.7

19.6

small sample

—

0.259

26.0

—

Arkansas-Pine BluffSWAC

0-1

2-2

100%

−4.2

30.8

small sample

—

0.333

22.5

—

CornellIvy

1-1

94%

−4.3

26.1

small sample

35.5

0.500

32.5

—

Gardner-WebbBig South

0-2

1-3

100%

−4.7

47.8

small sample

—

0.750

27.8

—

Long IslandNEC

0-2

0-4

100%

−4.8

24.2

small sample

—

0.231

24.3

—

LindenwoodOVC

1-1

2-1

85%

−4.8

38.4

small sample

43.5

0.667

24.3

—

Cal PolyBig Sky

1-1

1-2

97%

−5.3

19.6

small sample

10.4

0.167

36.4

—

StetsonPioneer

1-1

3-1

98%

−5.3

15.8

small sample

6.8

0.556

14.5

—

McNeeseSouthland

0-2

1-3

100%

−5.4

37.1

small sample

—

0.556

29.1

—

ButlerPioneer

0-1

2-1

100%

−5.5

46.8

small sample

—

0.917

15.3

—

Delaware StateMEAC

0-2

2-2

100%

−5.7

43.9

small sample

—

0.556

25.8

—

Portland StateBig Sky

0-1

0-3

100%

−5.7

67.2

small sample

—

0.889

34.1

—

Indiana StateMVFC

1-1

1-2

93%

−6.4

33.9

small sample

11.6

0.556

38.8

—

WagnerNEC

0-2

0-3

100%

−6.9

31.6

small sample

—

0.620

28.8

—

DaytonPioneer

1-1

2-1

96%

−7.1

25.5

small sample

10.1

0.500

14.5

—

Norfolk StateMEAC

0-2

0-4

100%

−7.2

23.6

small sample

—

0.444

27.7

—

Alabama A&MSWAC

0-2

0-4

100%

−7.2

33.6

small sample

—

0.458

26.9

—

SouthernSWAC

0-1

1-2

100%

−7.3

18.1

small sample

—

0.111

34.8

—

St. Thomas (MN)Pioneer

0-1

2-1

100%

−7.3

32.1

small sample

—

0.667

14.9

—

Idaho StateBig Sky

0-2

0-4

100%

−9.0

20.6

small sample

—

0.250

42.1

—

Nicholls StateSouthland

0-2

0-4

100%

−9.2

46.2

small sample

—

0.806

28.3

—

Murray StateOVC

0-2

0-4

100%

−9.3

33.9

small sample

—

0.528

36.0

—

Stony BrookCAA

0-2

0-3

100%

−10.1

38.3

small sample

—

0.657

34.8

—

Robert MorrisBig South

0-2

0-3

100%

−11.3

13.1

small sample

—

0.139

19.5