Saint Francis
NEC · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#22
A #25-level team matches it 76% of the time
Power
#25
+6.2 pts · likely #10–69
Strength of schedule
33.6
#23 of 130
Strength of victory
21.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.410
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 56.5%
Remaining SOS
26.8
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Saint Francis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Richmond | L 21-31 | +10.3 | +1.7 | 0.582 | 1 | +2.8 |
| 3 | at Wagner | W 27-7 | −4.3 | +1.7 | 0.217 | 3 | +14.8 |
| 4 | at Norfolk State | W 45-26 | −4.6 | +1.7 | 0.210 | 3 | +13.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Central Connecticut State · p 0.084
- Wk 7: at Long Island · p 0.204
- Wk 8: vs Stonehill · p 0.233
- Wk 9: at Sacred Heart · p 0.227
- Wk 10: at Georgetown · p 0.167
- Wk 11: vs Duquesne · p 0.194
- Wk 12: at Merrimack · p 0.348
- Wk 13: at Delaware · p 0.686
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at AkronFBS · L 23-30