Morehead State
Pioneer · 0-3 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#57
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#128
−11.8 pts · likely #82–128
Strength of schedule
39.3
#7 of 130
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.556
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 33.3%
Remaining SOS
16.0
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Mercer | L 13-63 | +9.8 | +1.7 | 0.569 | 1 | −21.2 |
| 2 | at Montana State | L 13-63 | +5.2 | +1.7 | 0.444 | 2 | −25.0 |
| 4 | at Stetson | L 26-38 | −7.0 | +1.7 | 0.167 | 3 | −15.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Presbyterian · p 0.033
- Wk 7: at Davidson · p 0.416
- Wk 8: vs Valparaiso · p 0.163
- Wk 9: at Butler · p 0.190
- Wk 10: vs Marist · p 0.049
- Wk 11: at Dayton · p 0.159
- Wk 12: vs San Diego · p 0.113
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 49-14