Montana State
Big Sky · 3-0 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#13
A #25-level team matches it 49% of the time
Power
#17
+8.3 pts · likely #7–63
Strength of schedule
20.6
#61 of 130
Strength of victory
20.6
#13
Record SOS
0.435
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 63.9%
Remaining SOS
37.4
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs McNeese | W 40-17 | −3.2 | −1.7 | 0.172 | 3 | +15.9 |
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 63-13 | −8.8 | −1.7 | 0.092 | 4 | +21.5 |
| 4 | at Eastern Washington | W 38-35 | +1.7 | +1.7 | 0.354 | 2 | +6.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs UC Davis · p 0.383
- Wk 6: vs Idaho State · p 0.087
- Wk 7: at Northern Colorado · p 0.311
- Wk 8: vs Weber State · p 0.436
- Wk 10: at Northern Arizona · p 0.264
- Wk 11: at Cal Poly · p 0.194
- Wk 12: vs Montana · p 0.650
- Wk 14: vs Weber State · p 0.436
- Wk 15: vs William & Mary · p 0.428
- Wk 16: at South Dakota State · p 0.554
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs (N) Oregon StateFBS · L 28-68