Mercer
Southern · 3-0 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#14
A #25-level team matches it 50% of the time
Power
#8
+12.1 pts · likely #3–41
Strength of schedule
20.0
#63 of 130
Strength of victory
20.0
#15
Record SOS
0.352
Opp. 16.7% · Opp. opp. 72.2%
Remaining SOS
34.3
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Morehead State | W 63-13 | −9.8 | −1.7 | 0.081 | 4 | +21.5 |
| 3 | vs The Citadel | W 17-0 | −3.0 | −1.7 | 0.176 | 3 | +12.6 |
| 4 | at Gardner-Webb | W 45-14 | +1.3 | +1.7 | 0.342 | 2 | +27.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Wofford · p 0.143
- Wk 6: vs Western Carolina · p 0.286
- Wk 7: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.280
- Wk 8: at Chattanooga · p 0.596
- Wk 9: at VMI · p 0.267
- Wk 11: vs Furman · p 0.331
- Wk 12: at Samford · p 0.497
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at AuburnFBS · L 16-42