Western Carolina
Southern · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#33
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#52
+2.1 pts · likely #20–92
Strength of schedule
21.4
#59 of 130
Strength of victory
13.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.444
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 66.7%
Remaining SOS
34.1
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Carolina. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Charleston Southern | W 52-38 | −4.6 | +1.7 | 0.211 | 3 | +9.4 |
| 3 | vs Presbyterian | W 77-21 | −12.2 | −1.7 | 0.060 | 4 | +17.2 |
| 4 | at Samford | L 12-35 | +2.4 | +1.7 | 0.370 | 2 | −14.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs VMI · p 0.196
- Wk 6: at Mercer · p 0.634
- Wk 7: at Furman · p 0.420
- Wk 8: vs The Citadel · p 0.176
- Wk 10: vs Wofford · p 0.097
- Wk 11: at East Tennessee State · p 0.364
- Wk 12: vs Chattanooga · p 0.503
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Georgia TechFBS · L 17-35