Samford
Southern · 3-0 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#7
A #25-level team matches it 35% of the time
Power
#22
+7.2 pts · likely #8–68
Strength of schedule
28.9
#39 of 130
Strength of victory
28.9
#7
Record SOS
0.815
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 44.4%
Remaining SOS
40.3
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Samford. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Kennesaw State | W 27-17 | −2.8 | −1.7 | 0.180 | 3 | +6.1 |
| 3 | at Tennessee Tech | W 33-28 | −1.1 | +1.7 | 0.286 | 2 | +6.1 |
| 4 | vs Western Carolina | W 35-12 | +7.1 | −1.7 | 0.402 | 2 | +23.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Furman · p 0.420
- Wk 6: vs Wofford · p 0.097
- Wk 8: at East Tennessee State · p 0.364
- Wk 9: at The Citadel · p 0.244
- Wk 10: vs VMI · p 0.196
- Wk 11: at Chattanooga · p 0.596
- Wk 12: vs Mercer · p 0.543
- Wk 14: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.479
- Wk 15: at North Dakota State · p 0.693
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at GeorgiaFBS · L 0-33