Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#44
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#73
−2.2 pts · likely #35–111
Strength of schedule
29.2
#38 of 130
Strength of victory
36.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.620
Opp. 83.3% · Opp. opp. 19.4%
Remaining SOS
30.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Sam Houston | W 10-3 | +2.3 | +1.7 | 0.367 | 2 | +7.6 |
| 3 | vs North Dakota | L 24-27 | −3.5 | −1.7 | 0.167 | 3 | −6.9 |
| 4 | vs Idaho | L 10-27 | +4.7 | −1.7 | 0.341 | 2 | −10.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Portland State · p 0.191
- Wk 6: vs Cal Poly · p 0.136
- Wk 7: at UC Davis · p 0.475
- Wk 8: at Idaho State · p 0.131
- Wk 10: vs Montana State · p 0.446
- Wk 11: at Northern Colorado · p 0.311
- Wk 12: vs Weber State · p 0.436
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arizona StateFBS · L 3-40