North Dakota
MVFC · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#26
A #25-level team matches it 82% of the time
Power
#75
−2.3 pts · likely #35–110
Strength of schedule
27.5
#43 of 130
Strength of victory
31.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.463
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 72.2%
Remaining SOS
41.2
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Northern Iowa | W 29-27 | +4.7 | −1.7 | 0.343 | 2 | +3.6 |
| 3 | at Northern Arizona | W 27-24 | −0.7 | +1.7 | 0.296 | 2 | +2.5 |
| 4 | at Southern Illinois | L 17-34 | −5.8 | +1.7 | 0.187 | 3 | −16.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Missouri State · p 0.306
- Wk 6: at Youngstown State · p 0.555
- Wk 8: vs South Dakota State · p 0.460
- Wk 9: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.318
- Wk 10: at Indiana State · p 0.174
- Wk 11: vs South Dakota · p 0.263
- Wk 12: at North Dakota State · p 0.693
- Wk 13: at Weber State · p 0.529
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at NebraskaFBS · L 17-38