Southern Illinois
MVFC · 1-2 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#39
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#68
−1.2 pts · likely #33–105
Strength of schedule
36.6
#17 of 130
Strength of victory
27.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.710
Opp. 83.3% · Opp. opp. 46.3%
Remaining SOS
39.3
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Incarnate Word | L 29-64 | +6.1 | +1.7 | 0.468 | 2 | −22.4 |
| 2 | vs Southeast Missouri State | L 31-34 | +5.1 | −1.7 | 0.352 | 2 | +0.0 |
| 4 | vs North Dakota | W 34-17 | +2.0 | −1.7 | 0.277 | 2 | +13.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Illinois State · p 0.461
- Wk 6: at Missouri State · p 0.393
- Wk 7: vs Western Illinois · p 0.087
- Wk 8: at South Dakota · p 0.345
- Wk 9: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.304
- Wk 11: vs North Dakota State · p 0.606
- Wk 12: at Youngstown State · p 0.555
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at NorthwesternFBS · W 31-24