Northern Iowa
MVFC · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#45
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#40
+3.3 pts · likely #17–87
Strength of schedule
26.9
#44 of 130
Strength of victory
25.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.454
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 36.1%
Remaining SOS
28.2
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Iowa. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Dakota | L 27-29 | −3.8 | +1.7 | 0.227 | 3 | −2.6 |
| 3 | vs Sacramento State | L 21-37 | +4.1 | −1.7 | 0.326 | 2 | −9.5 |
| 4 | at Western Illinois | W 52-17 | −2.5 | +1.7 | 0.253 | 2 | +27.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Indiana State · p 0.121
- Wk 6: vs Illinois State · p 0.369
- Wk 7: vs Utah Tech · p 0.102
- Wk 8: vs Missouri State · p 0.306
- Wk 9: at Southern Illinois · p 0.272
- Wk 10: vs South Dakota State · p 0.460
- Wk 12: at South Dakota · p 0.345
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Air ForceFBS · L 17-48