Northwestern State
Southland · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#52
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#118
−8.7 pts · likely #69–126
Strength of schedule
31.8
#31 of 130
Strength of victory
15.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.407
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 55.6%
Remaining SOS
33.5
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northwestern State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Montana | L 0-47 | +14.6 | +1.7 | 0.692 | 1 | −17.2 |
| 2 | vs (N) Grambling State | L 21-47 | −9.5 | 0.0 | 0.104 | 3 | −29.9 |
| 4 | vs Lamar | W 35-27 | −4.0 | −1.7 | 0.159 | 3 | +0.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Nicholls State · p 0.087
- Wk 6: at Eastern Illinois · p 0.210
- Wk 7: at Houston Christian · p 0.351
- Wk 8: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.340
- Wk 10: at East Texas A&M · p 0.257
- Wk 11: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.572
- Wk 12: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.529
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Southern MissFBS · L 10-64