South Dakota
MVFC · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#34
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#58
+1.2 pts · likely #26–99
Strength of schedule
49.4
#3 of 130
Strength of victory
18.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.778
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 33.3%
Remaining SOS
37.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Montana | L 7-24 | +16.3 | +1.7 | 0.731 | 1 | +0.8 |
| 3 | vs Cal Poly | W 38-21 | −2.4 | −1.7 | 0.187 | 3 | +10.0 |
| 4 | vs North Dakota State | L 17-34 | +13.1 | −1.7 | 0.564 | 1 | −4.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at South Dakota State · p 0.554
- Wk 7: at Illinois State · p 0.461
- Wk 8: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.200
- Wk 9: at Youngstown State · p 0.555
- Wk 10: vs Missouri State · p 0.306
- Wk 11: at North Dakota · p 0.261
- Wk 12: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.304
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kansas StateFBS · L 0-34