North Dakota State
MVFC · 3-0 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#10
A #25-level team matches it 40% of the time
Power
#4
+14.1 pts · likely #2–34
Strength of schedule
25.6
#48 of 130
Strength of victory
25.6
#9
Record SOS
0.519
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 88.9%
Remaining SOS
37.7
11 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Drake | W 56-14 | −9.4 | −1.7 | 0.086 | 4 | +22.3 |
| 2 | vs North Carolina A&T | W 43-3 | +2.9 | −1.7 | 0.298 | 2 | +31.6 |
| 4 | at South Dakota | W 34-17 | +2.9 | +1.7 | 0.384 | 2 | +19.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Youngstown State · p 0.461
- Wk 6: at Indiana State · p 0.174
- Wk 7: vs South Dakota State · p 0.460
- Wk 9: vs Illinois State · p 0.369
- Wk 10: at Western Illinois · p 0.130
- Wk 11: at Southern Illinois · p 0.272
- Wk 12: vs North Dakota · p 0.191
- Wk 14: vs Montana · p 0.650
- Wk 15: vs Samford · p 0.404
- Wk 16: vs (N) South Dakota State · p 0.507
- Wk 16: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.529
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at ArizonaFBS · L 28-31