East Tennessee State
Southern · 1-2 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#53
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#48
+2.5 pts · likely #19–92
Strength of schedule
22.6
#54 of 130
Strength of victory
24.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.306
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 25.0%
Remaining SOS
37.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at The Citadel | L 17-20 | −4.8 | +1.7 | 0.206 | 3 | −4.1 |
| 3 | vs Furman | L 14-27 | −0.2 | −1.7 | 0.229 | 3 | −10.5 |
| 4 | at Robert Morris | W 45-3 | −3.0 | +1.7 | 0.243 | 3 | +25.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Chattanooga · p 0.503
- Wk 6: at VMI · p 0.267
- Wk 7: at Mercer · p 0.634
- Wk 8: vs Samford · p 0.404
- Wk 9: at Wofford · p 0.143
- Wk 11: vs Western Carolina · p 0.286
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Mars HillDII · W 44-7