Murray State
OVC · 0-2 vs FCS · 0-4 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#121
−9.3 pts · likely #68–127
Strength of schedule
33.9
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.528
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 58.3%
Remaining SOS
36.0
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Jacksonville State | L 3-34 | +13.4 | −1.7 | 0.572 | 1 | −17.9 |
| 4 | vs Eastern Illinois | L 21-35 | −7.7 | −1.7 | 0.105 | 3 | −20.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.572
- Wk 6: vs UT Martin · p 0.373
- Wk 7: at Austin Peay · p 0.633
- Wk 8: at Lindenwood · p 0.213
- Wk 9: vs Tennessee State · p 0.235
- Wk 11: vs Robert Morris · p 0.066
- Wk 12: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.430
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Texas TechFBS · L 10-63
- Wk 3: at Ball StateFBS · L 0-31