South Dakota State
MVFC · 3-0 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#2
A #25-level team matches it 26% of the time
Power
#15
+9.1 pts · likely #5–56
Strength of schedule
35.5
#21 of 130
Strength of victory
35.5
#3
Record SOS
0.778
Opp. 75.0% · Opp. opp. 83.3%
Remaining SOS
40.4
11 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs UC Davis | W 24-22 | +5.6 | −1.7 | 0.364 | 2 | +6.4 |
| 3 | vs Butler | W 45-17 | 0.0 | −1.7 | 0.233 | 3 | +20.8 |
| 4 | at Missouri State | W 28-14 | +6.0 | +1.7 | 0.466 | 2 | +18.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Western Illinois · p 0.087
- Wk 6: vs South Dakota · p 0.263
- Wk 7: at North Dakota State · p 0.693
- Wk 8: at North Dakota · p 0.261
- Wk 9: vs Indiana State · p 0.121
- Wk 10: at Northern Iowa · p 0.390
- Wk 11: vs Illinois State · p 0.369
- Wk 14: vs Delaware · p 0.599
- Wk 15: vs Holy Cross · p 0.565
- Wk 16: vs (N) North Dakota State · p 0.650
- Wk 16: vs Montana State · p 0.446
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at IowaFBS · L 3-7