Valparaiso
Pioneer · 1-2 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#49
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#86
−3.7 pts · likely #42–115
Strength of schedule
29.5
#37 of 130
Strength of victory
12.0
1 wins
Record SOS
0.324
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 30.6%
Remaining SOS
9.8
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Valparaiso. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Illinois State | L 21-28 | +7.3 | +1.7 | 0.502 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 3 | at Dartmouth | L 13-35 | −2.1 | +1.7 | 0.263 | 2 | −17.6 |
| 4 | vs San Diego | W 28-21 | −6.6 | −1.7 | 0.120 | 3 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Presbyterian · p 0.055
- Wk 7: vs Butler · p 0.133
- Wk 8: at Morehead State · p 0.092
- Wk 9: at Dayton · p 0.159
- Wk 10: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.101
- Wk 11: at Marist · p 0.078
- Wk 12: vs Drake · p 0.066
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Indiana WesleyanNon-NCAA · W 20-17