Central Arkansas
ASUN · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#47
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#65
−0.9 pts · likely #31–106
Strength of schedule
28.2
#41 of 130
Strength of victory
18.1
1 wins
Record SOS
0.491
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 47.2%
Remaining SOS
34.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Missouri State | L 14-27 | +0.2 | −1.7 | 0.239 | 3 | −11.9 |
| 3 | at Idaho State | W 31-16 | −6.2 | +1.7 | 0.181 | 3 | +7.7 |
| 4 | at Southeast Missouri State | L 27-35 | +4.5 | +1.7 | 0.426 | 2 | −1.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Austin Peay · p 0.542
- Wk 6: vs Lindenwood · p 0.151
- Wk 7: at Kennesaw State · p 0.258
- Wk 9: vs North Alabama · p 0.113
- Wk 10: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.424
- Wk 11: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.302
- Wk 12: vs Jacksonville State · p 0.622
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Ole MissFBS · L 3-59