Monmouth
CAA · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#30
A #25-level team matches it 87% of the time
Power
#23
+6.5 pts · likely #10–68
Strength of schedule
36.1
#20 of 130
Strength of victory
36.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.655
Opp. 75.0% · Opp. opp. 46.5%
Remaining SOS
27.8
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Monmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at New Hampshire | L 21-31 | +3.9 | +1.7 | 0.410 | 2 | −2.6 |
| 2 | vs Fordham | L 49-52 | +3.5 | −1.7 | 0.313 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 3 | vs Georgetown | W 45-6 | −2.3 | −1.7 | 0.188 | 3 | +26.1 |
| 4 | at Villanova | W 49-42 | +8.5 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Lehigh · p 0.166
- Wk 6: vs UAlbany · p 0.281
- Wk 7: at Maine · p 0.247
- Wk 8: vs Rhode Island · p 0.307
- Wk 9: vs Towson · p 0.181
- Wk 10: at Delaware · p 0.686
- Wk 12: vs Stony Brook · p 0.076