Computer ratings · FCS vs FCS games only

FCS College Football Ratings & Strength of Schedule

2023 Week 4 · through Saturday, September 23

Early-season ratings are provisional: too few FCS games connect the league yet, so last season still carries real weight.

Season

Week

How this week's numbers compare

Power (0 = average team): #1 +24.0 · #10 +13.8 · middle −0.8
SOS (higher is harder): hardest 68.4 · #10 54.4 · middle 30.9 · easiest 3.4
SOR (lower is better): #1 22% · #25 86%

Power is in points: a +20 team would be favored by about 20 over an average FCS team on a neutral field, and by 10 over a +10 team. SOS, SOR, and SOV are measured against a #25-level team: one as strong as the 25th-best team in these ratings usually is at season's end (+9.0 points). That comes from these ratings, not the poll. An SOS of 50 means a #25-level team would lose about half of these games; above 50, the opponents were, on average, better than that.

What these columns mean

#: Rank in the column you sorted by (strength of record unless you pick another). "—" means too few FCS games to rank.
vs FCS: Record against FCS teams. These are the only games any number here counts.
All games: Record in every game, including opponents outside FCS. For reference only.
SOR: Strength of record: how often a #25-level team would do at least this well against this exact schedule. Lower is harder to achieve.
Power: Points better than an average FCS team on a neutral field. The difference between two teams is the expected margin.
SOS: Strength of schedule, 0–100: on average, how often a #25-level team would lose each of these games. Higher is harder.
SOS rank: Rank by SOS. Teams need 3 FCS games to be ranked.
SOV: Strength of victory: SOS counting only the games the team won.
Record SOS: NCAA RPI-style schedule strength from records only: 2/3 opponents' win % plus 1/3 their opponents' win %.

Only games between two FCS teams count. Method v1 · 159 FCS games · run fa336cfaa43f

Team

vs FCS

All games

SOS rank

0-3

0-4

100%

−11.2

32.0

—

0.242

49.3

The CitadelSouthern

0-3

0-4

100%

−16.3

33.6

—

0.322

32.7

Stony BrookCAA

0-3

0-4

100%

−7.3

45.9

—

0.519

44.4

Saint FrancisNEC

0-3

0-4

100%

−4.6

28.3

—

0.366

14.4

Northern ColoradoBig Sky

0-3

0-4

100%

−14.2

39.0

—

0.389

39.4

MerrimackNEC

0-3

1-3

100%

−4.3

33.7

—

0.420

14.8

McNeeseSouthland

0-3

0-4

100%

−7.6

31.2

—

0.565

22.5

Kennesaw StateFCS Indep.

0-3

1-3

100%

+0.6

48.8

—

0.479

19.9

ColgatePatriot

0-3

0-4

100%

−7.9

60.3

—

0.772

24.5

MaineCAA

0-3

0-4

100%

−7.4

58.6

—

0.685

35.7

WoffordSouthern

0-3

0-4

100%

−9.1

28.5

—

0.389

35.7

Sacred HeartNEC

1-3

100%

−8.8

19.4

30.1

0.432

17.3

San DiegoPioneer

1-2

1-3

100%

−7.4

14.1

5.8

0.148

10.5

MaristPioneer

1-2

100%

−20.2

12.0

11.2

0.218

12.5

GeorgetownPatriot

2-2

100%

−7.9

10.9

6.8

0.358

34.5

Alcorn StateSWAC

1-2

1-3

99%

−4.9

24.7

11.7

0.383

24.8

LehighPatriot

1-3

99%

−9.3

30.9

21.7

0.461

33.5

St. Thomas (MN)Pioneer

1-2

2-2

99%

−7.7

29.4

3.9

0.583

10.9

TowsonCAA

1-2

1-3

99%

−4.1

23.0

41.6

0.559

52.0

SouthernSWAC

1-2

98%

+0.0

29.5

11.8

0.546

21.5

Northern ArizonaBig Sky

1-2

1-3

98%

−1.3

41.7

57.5

0.568

47.5

Morgan StateMEAC

1-2

1-3

98%

−2.1

37.4

60.1

0.583

27.7

Southeast Missouri StateOVC

1-2

1-3

98%

+11.7

36.3

9.2

0.525

35.5

RichmondCAA

2-1

2-2

97%

+5.3

10.9

11.2

0.204

39.9

Tennessee TechOVC

1-2

1-3

96%

−5.1

39.6

29.0

0.484

31.4

LindenwoodOVC

1-2

2-2

96%

−10.1

41.7

14.3

0.270

25.0

MonmouthCAA

1-2

1-3

95%

+2.2

36.6

35.5

0.586

38.5

VMISouthern

2-1

2-2

94%

−8.9

16.0

17.2

0.444

37.7

Utah TechUAC

1-3

94%

−7.2

53.7

47.2

0.475

41.4

FordhamPatriot

2-1

3-1

93%

+9.2

19.1

9.1

0.769

25.3

Illinois StateMVFC

3-1

90%

+8.2

14.9

9.3

0.356

43.8

StonehillNEC

2-2

90%

−9.9

33.9

20.6

0.571

16.2

HamptonCAA

2-1

89%

−4.7

21.2

26.7

0.833

41.5

CampbellCAA

2-2

88%

+8.9

35.4

29.2

0.444

39.0

North AlabamaUAC

2-3

88%

−0.1

44.5

40.6

0.671

40.2

MontanaBig Sky

2-1

3-1

87%

+8.8

22.3

23.9

0.444

53.8

UC DavisBig Sky

2-1

2-2

87%

+11.0

22.7

25.3

0.491

33.4

Stephen F. AustinSouthland

2-1

2-2

86%

+9.2

24.3

19.0

0.537

37.7

Abilene ChristianUAC

2-2

86%

+4.3

39.9

21.7

0.491

35.6

Prairie View A&MSWAC

2-1

2-2

85%

−4.2

24.4

27.2

0.306

29.4

Sacramento StateBig Sky

2-1

3-1

84%

+12.3

30.4

12.1

0.500

39.3

BryantOVC

2-1

2-2

83%

+1.4

28.9

34.1

0.556

29.7

WagnerNEC

2-1

2-2

82%

−10.0

29.3

17.8

0.390

14.7

Rhode IslandCAA

2-1

2-2

81%

+5.3

30.8

16.5

0.438

35.0

MercerSouthern

2-1

2-2

77%

+8.2

34.4

16.5

0.506

31.3

ChattanoogaSouthern

3-1

77%

+9.2

23.6

22.8

0.252

42.8

Jackson StateSWAC

3-1

3-2

71%

+10.4

26.8

22.4

0.769

14.1

New HampshireCAA

2-1

2-2

69%

+13.8

39.6

22.4

0.738

32.1

ElonCAA

2-1

2-2

64%

+10.8

41.0

40.3

0.398

47.0

Austin PeayUAC

2-1

2-2

53%

+8.5

47.7

42.8

0.861

34.2

Holy CrossPatriot

3-0

3-1

45%

+17.8

21.7

0.278

28.8

VillanovaCAA

3-0

3-1

42%

+13.2

23.4

0.500

47.0

Eastern IllinoisOVC

3-0

3-1

40%

+0.1

25.0

0.560

28.9

LafayettePatriot

3-0

3-1

37%

+3.0

27.3

0.619

36.5

Eastern WashingtonBig Sky

2-1

2-2

36%

+2.7

56.6

45.9

0.602

37.6

Western CarolinaSouthern

3-0

3-1

32%

+10.9

30.0

0.509

29.6

FurmanSouthern

3-0

3-1

31%

+16.9

31.2

0.497

31.8

DelawareCAA

3-0

3-1

30%

+15.1

30.1

0.432

35.9

Montana StateBig Sky

3-1

29%

+24.0

44.6

31.6

0.563

43.3

UT MartinOVC

3-0

3-1

29%

+13.5

33.0

0.774

31.4

William & MaryCAA

4-0

26%

+11.3

23.7

0.347

35.6

North Dakota StateMVFC

3-0

22%

+21.6

36.0

0.704

47.6

—

South Dakota StateMVFC

2-0

3-0

18%

+21.4

44.0

small sample

44.0

0.597

51.6

—

Incarnate WordSouthland

2-0

3-1

49%

+17.5

27.8

small sample

27.8

0.380

13.0

—

Southern IllinoisMVFC

2-0

3-0

15%

+13.9

60.0

small sample

60.0

0.750

41.7

—

IdahoBig Sky

2-0

3-1

42%

+13.8

31.6

small sample

31.6

0.583

38.5

—

Central ArkansasUAC

1-1

2-2

63%

+13.6

64.0

small sample

44.7

0.750

43.7

—

North Carolina CentralMEAC

2-0

3-1

65%

+12.9

19.1

small sample

19.1

0.292

30.1

—

Florida A&MSWAC

2-0

3-1

28%

+10.7

42.3

small sample

42.3

0.931

19.9

—

North DakotaMVFC

2-0

2-1

76%

+10.3

12.5

small sample

12.5

0.444

42.9

—

Missouri StateMVFC

1-1

1-2

90%

+10.2

41.9

small sample

13.8

0.653

48.7

—

Weber StateBig Sky

1-1

2-2

55%

+8.6

67.2

small sample

67.4

0.736

28.1

—

Youngstown StateMVFC

2-0

2-1

90%

+8.0

5.2

small sample

5.2

0.500

43.7

—

UAlbanyCAA

2-0

2-2

32%

+7.6

41.6

small sample

41.6

0.759

43.7

—

HarvardIvy

2-0

70%

+7.6

16.2

small sample

16.2

0.778

36.2

—

Tarleton StateUAC

2-0

3-1

59%

+7.1

23.0

small sample

23.0

0.411

39.4

—

PennIvy

2-0

66%

+7.0

18.7

small sample

18.7

0.667

29.2

—

Northern IowaMVFC

1-1

1-2

95%

+6.4

22.6

small sample

18.7

0.472

47.6

—

Gardner-WebbOVC

1-1

1-3

84%

+6.0

41.7

small sample

52.4

0.787

34.7

—

Eastern KentuckyUAC

1-1

1-3

75%

+5.8

50.5

small sample

54.5

0.639

42.2

—

Southern UtahUAC

1-1

1-3

96%

+5.7

37.5

small sample

5.6

0.287

43.0

—

South DakotaMVFC

2-0

2-1

84%

+5.4

8.5

small sample

8.5

0.444

47.9

—

PrincetonIvy

1-1

97%

+5.0

17.8

small sample

18.0

0.417

33.8

—

ColumbiaIvy

1-1

96%

+2.3

22.5

small sample

14.5

0.706

31.2

—

Portland StateBig Sky

1-0

2-2

85%

+2.2

14.6

small sample

14.6

0.833

38.2

—

DartmouthIvy

1-1

94%

+1.8

39.3

small sample

7.9

0.509

32.1

—

BrownIvy

1-1

74%

+1.4

52.2

small sample

43.3

0.875

29.7

—

Tennessee StateOVC

2-0

2-1

56%

+0.2

23.8

small sample

23.8

0.583

27.8

—

Alabama StateSWAC

1-1

1-2

86%

+0.2

43.2

small sample

20.7

0.759

22.7

—

DavidsonPioneer

1-1

2-2

99%

−0.1

8.6

small sample

5.3

0.407

10.8

—

ButlerPioneer

1-1

3-1

90%

−0.3

37.0

small sample

16.8

0.296

9.4

—

YaleIvy

0-2

100%

−0.3

35.4

small sample

—

0.694

31.3

—

SamfordSouthern

0-2

1-3

100%

−1.2

44.9

small sample

—

0.622

31.0

—

HowardMEAC

0-1

1-2

100%

−1.4

15.6

small sample

—

0.667

29.8

—

CornellIvy

2-0

52%

−1.9

27.1

small sample

27.1

0.361

30.6

—

DuquesneNEC

0-0

1-2

—

−2.7

—

25.6

—

Southeastern LouisianaSouthland

0-2

0-4

100%

−2.7

21.4

small sample

—

0.361

23.2

—

Grambling StateSWAC

1-1

2-2

98%

−2.8

15.7

small sample

16.5

0.375

19.3

—

Bethune-CookmanSWAC

0-1

1-3

100%

−3.1

68.4

small sample

—

0.722

24.8

—

North Carolina A&TCAA

0-2

0-3

100%

−3.1

54.4

small sample

—

0.537

39.2

—

Norfolk StateMEAC

2-0

2-2

48%

−3.3

30.4

small sample

30.4

0.750

26.5

—

Texas SouthernSWAC

0-2

0-4

100%

−4.4

16.2

small sample

—

0.255

31.7

—

Murray StateMVFC

1-0

1-2

97%

−4.9

3.4

small sample

3.4

0.667

50.2

—

Alabama A&MSWAC

1-1

2-2

98%

−5.7

19.8

small sample

6.0

0.176

31.3

—

Long IslandNEC

0-1

0-3

100%

−6.0

37.5

small sample

—

0.500

14.1

—

Houston ChristianSouthland

1-1

2-2

70%

−6.7

55.4

small sample

48.4

0.514

20.8

—

South Carolina StateMEAC

1-1

1-3

98%

−6.8

24.7

small sample

3.5

0.417

25.3

—

Nicholls StateSouthland

0-1

0-3

100%

−6.9

51.5

small sample

—

0.500

34.2

—

East Tennessee StateSouthern

0-1

1-2

100%

−7.3

44.1

small sample

—

0.667

36.0

—

Charleston SouthernOVC

0-2

1-3

100%

−7.5

53.3

small sample

—

0.750

29.7

—

BucknellPatriot

1-1

1-2

97%

−8.7

21.4

small sample

9.3

0.806

29.1

—

StetsonPioneer

0-2

2-2

100%

−9.7

53.6

small sample

—

0.361

8.8

—

Central Connecticut StateNEC

0-1

1-2

100%

−9.8

5.5

small sample

—

0.407

18.4

—

East Texas A&MSouthland

0-2

0-3

100%

−10.2

50.4

small sample

—

0.500

28.9

—

Robert MorrisOVC

1-1

2-2

90%

−10.3

37.8

small sample

17.7

0.472

30.8

—

Arkansas-Pine BluffSWAC

0-2

1-3

100%

−10.5

25.3

small sample

—

0.417

21.4

—

Idaho StateBig Sky

1-1

1-3

99%

−10.7

15.3

small sample

5.0

0.157

50.4

—

Cal PolyBig Sky

1-1

2-2

97%

−10.9

16.9

small sample

14.9

0.500

49.3

—

Indiana StateMVFC

0-1

0-3

100%

−11.9

13.3

small sample

—

0.833

41.2

—

DrakePioneer

0-2

0-3

100%

−12.3

67.0

small sample

—

0.792

19.0

—

DaytonPioneer

0-2

2-2

100%

−12.8

32.4

small sample

—

0.285

11.6

—

Northwestern StateSouthland

0-1

0-3

100%

−12.9

32.1

small sample

—

0.500

15.6

—

Morehead StatePioneer

0-2

1-2

100%

−13.2

37.0

small sample

—

0.361

16.5

—

Delaware StateMEAC

0-1

0-4

100%

−13.3

39.4

small sample

—

0.333

25.8

—

LamarSouthland

0-2

1-3

100%

−13.4

48.4

small sample

—

0.792

21.5

—

Mississippi Valley StateSWAC

0-1

0-3

100%

−13.6

52.2

small sample

—

0.667

27.1

—

ValparaisoPioneer

0-2

0-3

100%

−15.7

24.9

small sample

—

0.435

15.8

—

PresbyterianPioneer

1-1

2-1

97%

−19.2

18.6

small sample

24.1

0.250

13.5