North Dakota
MVFC · 2-0 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 76% of the time
Power
#23
+10.3 pts · likely #8–55
Strength of schedule
12.5
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
12.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.444
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 83.3%
Remaining SOS
42.9
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Drake | W 55-7 | −9.4 | −3.1 | 0.072 | 4 | +19.6 |
| 2 | vs Northern Arizona | W 37-22 | −1.4 | −3.1 | 0.179 | 3 | +10.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at South Dakota State · p 0.856
- Wk 6: vs Western Illinois · p 0.057
- Wk 7: vs North Dakota State · p 0.748
- Wk 8: at Northern Iowa · p 0.508
- Wk 9: vs Indiana State · p 0.046
- Wk 10: at Murray State · p 0.246
- Wk 11: at South Dakota · p 0.495
- Wk 12: vs Illinois State · p 0.402
- Wk 13: vs Sacramento State · p 0.500
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Boise StateFBS · L 18-42