Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#42
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#66
−1.3 pts · likely #39–99
Strength of schedule
41.7
#10 of 128
Strength of victory
57.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.568
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 37.0%
Remaining SOS
47.5
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Dakota | L 22-37 | +10.6 | +3.1 | 0.628 | 1 | −1.5 |
| 3 | vs Utah Tech | L 36-50 | −12.2 | −3.1 | 0.049 | 4 | −24.3 |
| 4 | vs Montana | W 28-14 | +14.9 | −3.1 | 0.575 | 1 | +19.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Sacramento State · p 0.665
- Wk 6: at Weber State · p 0.586
- Wk 7: vs Portland State · p 0.256
- Wk 9: vs UC Davis · p 0.480
- Wk 10: at Montana State · p 0.892
- Wk 11: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.037
- Wk 12: at Eastern Washington · p 0.413
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArizonaFBS · L 3-38