Montana State
Big Sky · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#4
A #25-level team matches it 29% of the time
Power
#1
+24.0 pts · likely #1–10
Strength of schedule
44.6
#8 of 128
Strength of victory
31.6
#3
Record SOS
0.563
Opp. 58.3% · Opp. opp. 52.1%
Remaining SOS
43.3
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Utah Tech | W 63-20 | −7.1 | −3.1 | 0.096 | 4 | +24.7 |
| 2 | at South Dakota State | L 16-20 | +20.2 | +3.1 | 0.836 | 1 | +20.6 |
| 3 | vs Stetson | W 57-20 | −10.3 | −3.1 | 0.064 | 4 | +22.2 |
| 4 | at Weber State | W 40-0 | +17.6 | +3.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Portland State · p 0.256
- Wk 7: vs Cal Poly · p 0.064
- Wk 8: at Sacramento State · p 0.665
- Wk 9: at Idaho · p 0.706
- Wk 10: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.179
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.259
- Wk 12: at Montana · p 0.589
- Wk 14: vs North Dakota State · p 0.748