Stephen F. Austin
Southland · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#25
A #25-level team matches it 86% of the time
Power
#27
+9.2 pts · likely #9–56
Strength of schedule
24.3
#46 of 128
Strength of victory
19.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.537
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 61.1%
Remaining SOS
37.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stephen F. Austin. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Alcorn State | W 38-10 | −2.2 | −3.1 | 0.166 | 3 | +19.9 |
| 3 | at Northwestern State | W 41-7 | −5.8 | +3.1 | 0.214 | 3 | +24.2 |
| 4 | vs Austin Peay | L 20-22 | +6.4 | −3.1 | 0.350 | 2 | +3.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs East Texas A&M · p 0.059
- Wk 6: at Utah Tech · p 0.187
- Wk 7: at Central Arkansas · p 0.703
- Wk 8: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.307
- Wk 10: at Tarleton State · p 0.549
- Wk 11: vs Southern Utah · p 0.335
- Wk 12: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.502
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at TroyFBS · L 30-48