Sacramento State
Big Sky · 2-1 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#22
A #25-level team matches it 84% of the time
Power
#15
+12.3 pts · likely #6–44
Strength of schedule
30.4
#32 of 128
Strength of victory
12.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.500
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
39.3
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Sacramento State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Nicholls State | W 38-24 | −7.8 | +3.1 | 0.177 | 3 | +10.2 |
| 2 | vs East Texas A&M | W 34-6 | −10.2 | −3.1 | 0.065 | 4 | +14.6 |
| 4 | at Idaho | L 27-36 | +12.3 | +3.1 | 0.669 | 1 | +8.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.179
- Wk 7: at Northern Colorado · p 0.086
- Wk 8: vs Montana State · p 0.791
- Wk 9: vs Idaho State · p 0.059
- Wk 10: at Montana · p 0.589
- Wk 11: vs Cal Poly · p 0.064
- Wk 12: at UC Davis · p 0.646
- Wk 13: at North Dakota · p 0.627
- Wk 14: at South Dakota · p 0.495
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at StanfordFBS · W 30-23