Holy Cross
Patriot · 3-0 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#12
A #25-level team matches it 45% of the time
Power
#4
+17.8 pts · likely #2–27
Strength of schedule
21.7
#53 of 128
Strength of victory
21.7
#13
Record SOS
0.278
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 83.3%
Remaining SOS
28.8
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Holy Cross. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs (N) Harvard · p 0.466
- Wk 6: at Bucknell · p 0.165
- Wk 8: vs Lafayette · p 0.269
- Wk 9: at Fordham · p 0.583
- Wk 10: at Lehigh · p 0.151
- Wk 12: vs Georgetown · p 0.092
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Boston CollegeFBS · L 28-31