Merrimack
NEC · 0-3 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#54
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#78
−4.3 pts · likely #49–107
Strength of schedule
33.7
#24 of 128
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.420
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 25.9%
Remaining SOS
14.8
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Merrimack. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Holy Cross | L 20-42 | +18.7 | +3.1 | 0.809 | 1 | −1.1 |
| 2 | vs (N) Lehigh | L 12-14 | −10.9 | 0.0 | 0.088 | 4 | −11.3 |
| 4 | at Wagner | L 27-30 | −11.8 | +3.1 | 0.115 | 3 | −9.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Sacred Heart · p 0.155
- Wk 6: vs Stonehill · p 0.066
- Wk 8: at Long Island · p 0.210
- Wk 9: at Saint Francis · p 0.234
- Wk 11: vs Central Connecticut State · p 0.066
- Wk 12: vs Duquesne · p 0.158
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 44-0