Mercer
Southern · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#18
A #25-level team matches it 77% of the time
Power
#33
+8.2 pts · likely #11–62
Strength of schedule
34.4
#22 of 128
Strength of victory
16.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.506
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 51.7%
Remaining SOS
31.3
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Alabama | W 17-7 | +0.6 | 0.0 | 0.284 | 2 | +9.9 |
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 48-22 | −12.8 | −3.1 | 0.045 | 4 | +9.7 |
| 4 | at Furman | L 14-38 | +13.7 | +3.1 | 0.703 | 1 | −3.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs VMI · p 0.079
- Wk 6: at East Tennessee State · p 0.179
- Wk 7: vs Chattanooga · p 0.405
- Wk 8: vs Wofford · p 0.074
- Wk 9: at Western Carolina · p 0.640
- Wk 10: at The Citadel · p 0.061
- Wk 11: vs Samford · p 0.177
- Wk 13: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.342
- Wk 14: at South Dakota State · p 0.856
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Ole MissFBS · L 7-73