Morehead State
Pioneer · 0-2 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#120
−13.2 pts · likely #82–126
Strength of schedule
37.0
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.361
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 58.3%
Remaining SOS
16.5
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Mercer | L 22-48 | +8.0 | +3.1 | 0.558 | 1 | −14.7 |
| 4 | at St. Thomas (MN) | L 28-35 | −7.5 | +3.1 | 0.182 | 3 | −11.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Drake · p 0.047
- Wk 6: vs Dayton · p 0.042
- Wk 7: at Valparaiso · p 0.068
- Wk 8: at Tarleton State · p 0.549
- Wk 9: at San Diego · p 0.174
- Wk 10: vs Butler · p 0.199
- Wk 11: vs Davidson · p 0.196
- Wk 12: at Presbyterian · p 0.044
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs West Virginia StateDII · W 37-35