St. Thomas (MN)
Pioneer · 1-2 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#45
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#97
−7.7 pts · likely #62–117
Strength of schedule
29.4
#36 of 128
Strength of victory
3.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.583
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 41.7%
Remaining SOS
10.9
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against St. Thomas (MN). p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at South Dakota | L 0-24 | +3.0 | +3.1 | 0.423 | 2 | −15.4 |
| 3 | at Harvard | L 13-45 | +2.9 | +3.1 | 0.421 | 2 | −21.3 |
| 4 | vs Morehead State | W 35-28 | −13.8 | −3.1 | 0.039 | 4 | −9.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Dayton · p 0.097
- Wk 6: vs Butler · p 0.199
- Wk 7: at Drake · p 0.105
- Wk 8: at Stetson · p 0.146
- Wk 9: vs Marist · p 0.012
- Wk 11: at San Diego · p 0.174
- Wk 12: vs Valparaiso · p 0.028
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Black Hills StateDII · W 36-26