North Alabama
UAC · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#28
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#62
−0.1 pts · likely #38–90
Strength of schedule
44.5
#9 of 128
Strength of victory
40.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.671
Opp. 80.0% · Opp. opp. 41.3%
Remaining SOS
40.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Alabama. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Chattanooga | W 41-27 | +13.1 | −3.1 | 0.525 | 1 | +20.1 |
| 1 | vs (N) Mercer | L 7-17 | +7.8 | 0.0 | 0.469 | 2 | −1.8 |
| 2 | at Tarleton State | L 31-52 | +3.9 | +3.1 | 0.446 | 2 | −10.8 |
| 3 | at Tennessee Tech | W 20-7 | −2.4 | +3.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.337
- Wk 7: at Abilene Christian · p 0.468
- Wk 8: vs Utah Tech · p 0.094
- Wk 9: at Austin Peay · p 0.566
- Wk 10: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.543