Chattanooga
Southern · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#17
A #25-level team matches it 77% of the time
Power
#25
+9.2 pts · likely #11–56
Strength of schedule
23.6
#48 of 128
Strength of victory
22.8
#11
Record SOS
0.252
Opp. 6.3% · Opp. opp. 63.1%
Remaining SOS
42.8
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Chattanooga. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at North Alabama | L 27-41 | −3.6 | +3.1 | 0.261 | 2 | −11.0 |
| 2 | vs Kennesaw State | W 27-20 | −0.6 | −3.1 | 0.195 | 3 | +4.4 |
| 3 | vs The Citadel | W 48-3 | −15.2 | −3.1 | 0.032 | 4 | +15.5 |
| 4 | at Samford | W 47-24 | +4.3 | +3.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Wofford · p 0.154
- Wk 6: vs Western Carolina · p 0.473
- Wk 7: at Mercer · p 0.567
- Wk 8: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.090
- Wk 9: at VMI · p 0.162
- Wk 10: vs Furman · p 0.633
- Wk 13: at Austin Peay · p 0.566
- Wk 14: at Furman · p 0.778